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再談領展、中移動是否收息之選

今年以來,小散戶都唔會好過,因為股市出現了重大的調整,部份嚇得要止蝕離場,唔走的都想搵番啲穩健股票來投資,而為迎合大家的需求,近期都看到本地的報紙及網上媒體,不停推介一些所謂的”穩健”的股份,包括一些傳統型的收息股。

筆者多次提過,中資股不是長線投資的選擇,中資股有不少高息的選擇,不過普遍談不上穩健,因為政策風向一轉,隨時賺錢便蝕,同時跌咗冇咁易重返家鄉。

話說回來,這幾日看到本地財經報章連番推介中移動(0941)和領展(0823),認為息率十分吸引,這兩隻都是以往食息一族的至愛,但環境改變了,又要提醒大家一下。

中移動由增長變公用股之路

中移動(0941)是中資電訊股的龍頭哥,股價大跌息率自然吸引。以前它是一隻增長型的股份,但因為中國政策改變了,要打破電訊業的壟斷,加上中國經濟增長放緩,以及電訊業的發展高峰期正慢慢過去,所以中移動已經由一隻增長型股份,變了一隻公用股,投資回報靠收息。

不過,內地經濟越行越慢,那麼中移動增長動力來自哪裏?加上它是港股一隻大藍籌,港股調整,它也會跟着調整,股價的表現很難成為資金的避難所。收了股息抵銷不同股價大跌的損失。有人推介話息率吸引,請大家留意埋過去股價表現。

圖:中移動5年股價表現

領展防守功能減弱

另一隻想談的就是領展,它是一隻房地產信托基金(REIT),本質就是派高息的股票,因為賺幾多差不多派幾多息。領展同時是一隻地產股,它沒有以前那麼具防守性的功能,因為早幾年已經將大部份屋邨商場、停車場的資產賣出,換入一些更加進取的投資項目,如參與物業發展,以及在海外及內地投資。

近年美元轉強,領展海外的資產亦無可避免縮水,加上全世界的經濟已經逐步放緩,而香港的經濟又未走出疫情的困局,那麼領展的前景在哪裏?息率即使史無前例的高,但股價調整了很多,加加埋埋,都是彌補不到股價下跌的風險。

值得一提的做是,領展早幾年股價上升,看似較為穩定,其中一個助力是回購股份。

圖:領展5年股價表現

總括來說,香港和內地的經濟停滯不前,增長又放緩,仍未能走出疫情影響,所以增長步伐比歐美國家還要慢,不少所謂的高息股,因為股價調整不少,令到息率看似吸引,但股價表現是否穩定呢?這是大家尋找收息投資要考慮的另一個重要因素。

(20/10/2022)

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