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去年我買咗呢隻公用股 成績是…

繼續做標題黨,主要想吸引大家注意,應該低調啲好🤫。

去年寫了兩篇文章,關於我在港股買入了一隻公用股,就是煤氣0003 ,9個月下來,回報都算跑贏大市,兼有息賺,未來或有機會再增持。

大家有興趣可以重溫這兩篇文章:

我最近買入了這隻公用股 (10/9/2020)
懶人組合:我買咗煤氣 (01/12/2020)

早前文章都提到,買入煤氣是人棄我取,一隻優質的股票因為外來環境失利,股份無人問津,也是吸納的時候,所以去年從科技股換馬至收息股。 科技股賣得有點過早,不過,唔想太分心,視作懶人的組合,投資安心便可以了,況且今年以來,煤氣都跑贏了騰訊(0700)、阿里巴巴(9988)等科技公司。


圖:煤氣公司近一年股價走勢(截至28/5/2021)

自年初以來,煤氣股價升了18%,恒生指數升約7%,跑贏了大市。煤氣股價造好主要是今年第二季的事。科技股調整越來越深,資金回流傳統的舊經濟,令到煤氣的股價有支持。加上隨着市場對疫情的恐懼有所消減,經濟逐步回復正軌,餐飲業可望慢慢改善,這都有利對煤氣用量的需求。

另一個有利煤氣股價的因素,是煤氣持有超過6成權益的附屬公司港華燃氣(1083),受惠內地的需求增加,股價做得更好,拉動了煤氣的股價表現。港華燃氣主要收入來自中國內地的天然氣業務,公司今年首4個月售氣量保持理想增幅,所以不少的市場分析都較為看好這隻股份,多於母公司煤氣。

不過,對筆者來說,煤氣的表現較港華燃氣穩定。煤氣的啤打系數是0.25, 而港華燃氣的啤打系數是接近0.5, 數字越低,反映跟大市關聯性越小,大市跌的話,煤氣相對跌得比較小。另方面,煤氣持有不少港華燃氣,所以都受惠到它的升市。


圖:煤氣及港華燃氣今年以來股價表現

煤氣今年連續第二年派發的紅股縮水,繼續是20送一紅股,現金股息則維持不變。不過,隨著業務回復正軌,煤氣復甦的故事應未完結,如果經濟進一步改善,未來或有機會回復傳統10送一紅股的派息政策,加上現時又有2.6%的股息,所以作長線投資,筆者或會考慮加碼。

講開市場對天然氣的需求,其實並不限於中國大陸或者香港,美國的天然氣公司表現亦都非常省鏡,稍後有機會再跟大家研究和分析。

(31/5/2021)

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