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恒指換馬 邊隻藍籌派息高做得好?

恒生指數今日正式開始 “變天”,首次納入同股不同權及第二上市股份,小米(1810)及阿里巴巴(9988),另加多隻藥業股藥明(2269),踢走舊經濟股,走向年輕化。

多咗新經濟股之後,港股今後或會有較大的波動,而實際表現如何,就要看未來的發展。如果早幾日開始正式換馬,恐怕大家先要一嘗科技股帶動下,大跌市的滋味。

今次先同大家檢閱一下,執過位的藍籌股的表現。

能夠納入恒生指數成為新的成份股,一般都是買賣都比較活躍的股份,股價走勢都會表現突出,小米和藥明也不例外,分別成為今年以來,表現最好的藍籌股,上升了127%和90%,至於阿里巴巴都有32%的升幅,這些正是今年科技熱及疫情下的受惠股。

不過,恒指新貴藥明,入場費不便宜,一手都要94,000😲,且看日後會否把股份分拆,俾多些散戶參與。買唔起一手藥明,退而求其次,買盈富吧(2800)。 小米及阿里巴巴入場費,以5/9/2020計,分別是4,900及27,400.

大部份藍籌股價仍然潛水

年初以來(截至2020年9月4日),恒生指數下跌12.5%,過半數跑輸大市。藍籌中表現最差的是太古A和滙豐,都是疫情和本土政治問題打擊較大的股份。

經過近月升市之後,恒生指數的派息,由三月疫情開始肆虐時的4.4%水平跌至八月份的3.89%。派息較高的繼續是油股及中資銀行股。不過值得一提,早前內銀股公佈中期業績,成績認真麻麻,全年派息或有機會減少(內銀派息普遍是一年派一次)。油股因經濟疲弱股價低迷,賺了息都補唔番股價的跌幅。

公司代號一手入場費2020表現股息%
0386中石化2,0006,860-26.9%10.10%
0883中海油1,0008,360-35.5%9.39%
3328交通銀行1,0003,940-28.9%8.93%
3988中國銀行1,0002,490-25.2%8.57%
0019太古’A’50020,800-42.5%7.25%
2388中銀香港50010,850-19.8%7.10%
0005滙豐40013,240-45.6%7.07%
0011恒生銀行10011,910-26.0%6.91%
1398工商銀行1,0004,260-29.0%6.91%
0267中信1,0006,830-34.5%6.86%
0939建設銀行1,0005,440-19.2%6.68%
2007碧桂園1,0009,680-22.4%6.60%
0006電能50021,325-25.2%6.60%
0001長和50025,000-32.7%6.37%
1997九龍倉1,00032,100-32.5%6.34%
1038長江基建50019,650-29.1%6.29%
0857中石油2,0005,140-34.3%6.25%
0012恒基地產1,00029,300-23.4%6.15%
0941中國移動50026,575-18.9%6.14%
0017新世界發展1,00039,4007.8%5.20%
1113長實50020,550-26.9%5.12%
0016新鴻基地產50049,750-16.6%5.00%
0288萬洲5003,310-17.8%4.77%
0688中國海外2,00043,100-29.0%4.73%
0823領展1006,300-23.6%4.57%
2628中國人壽1,00018,400-15.0%4.44%
1044恒安50030,55010.1%4.12%
0002中電50037,650-8.1%4.11%
0101恒隆地產1,00020,95022.5%3.63%
1109華潤置地2,00073,800-4.9%3.25%
0762中國聯通2,00010,580-27.9%3.14%
0066港鐵50020,025-13.0%3.08%
0003中華煤氣1,00011,100-27.1%3.02%
1928金沙中國40013,400-19.6%2.97%
2318中國平安50040,250-12.6%2.85%
0388港交所10038,06050.4%1.77%
1299友邦保險20015,600-4.6%1.63%
0175吉利汽車1,00016,3407.2%1.54%
0027銀河娛樂1,00059,8004.2%1.53%
2313申洲國際1,000126,00010.6%1.52%
0669創科實業50047,80050.4%1.08%
1093石藥集團2,00032,240-13.2%1.04%
2018瑞聲科技50023,975-29.5%0.84%
2382舜宇50059,050-12.5%0.69%
1177中國生物製藥1,0009,090-16.6%0.59%
2319蒙牛乳業1,00037,80020.0%0.54%
0700騰訊10051,80037.9%0.23%
1810小米2004,900127.3%0.00%
2269藥明50094,10090.8%0.00%
9988阿里巴巴10027,40032.2%0.00%

圖表:藍籌股入場費、表現及派息

結語

藍籌股一向都是香港人普遍喜歡選擇的股份,不過近期市場的焦點聚焦在科技股身上,其實有好多藍籌,股價是相當低迷,遠遠跑輸大市。作一個長線的部署,或可以多留意,慢慢研究一下。未來筆者會有一些文章跟大家討論。

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