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投資股票揸1年跟3年的分別

美國公佈的通脹數據,升幅遠超預期,累到火燒連環船,全球引發大大小小的跌市。積弱的科技股跌得較深,非必需消費品行業更跌到四腳朝天,通脹升溫主題筆者近期講得唔少,今篇講番一啲基本的投資策略,掌握一些基本的策略,或更能對股市大升大跌如何應變。

投資股票很多時都建議大家有一個目標,就是長線還是短線,因為投資策略其實是不同的。

例如我們看到一些評論分析,有很多不同的意見,同一隻股票為何不同人有不同的看法,有人覺得便宜,有人會覺得昂貴呢?這樣可能就是一個時間的問題。

投資大行分析一般用12個月作為一個投資期,預期一年之內升定跌,估值是否便宜或者昂貴。

短線來說,股票升了一輪,有人會覺得昂貴,因為用一年的估值計算,股票預支了未來,未來可能是明年或後年的股價,但如果我們想一想,三年之後再回望這一隻股票,可能會覺得便宜,這就是三年的投資期與一年投資期的分別。

就好像騰訊(0700)早年越升越有,升完一輪有人總是買不落手,但如果一隻股票股價每年升40、50%,而賺錢能力又有50、60%以上,今年買你會覺得貴,但三年之後回望,可能已覺得非常便宜,後悔沒有買入了這隻股票。

投資三年期,通常都不會一帆風順,股價有起有落,因為有人短線投資,股票升完一輪就有不少資金來到獲利,但等三年作投資期,就會有錢賺。

當然要作一個長線投資,要有眼光,搵一隻有前景股票,越早入市越好,所以要做一啲研究,以及不斷的跟進。

網上不少頻道,一遇到大跌市,經常訪問美國女股神ARK的創辦人Kathie Wood, 問佢驚唔驚,通常佢都話冇問題,因為持有這麼高風險的科技股,都是一個長線的角度,起碼睇3、5年,短期的波動不足為怪。如果你要跟她投資,以近期市況看,短炒的可能經常擔驚受怕,長線的就要對她有信心。

(14/5/2021)

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