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月供股票是否不合事宜?

港股表現長期積弱,近年跌多過升,仲係低處未算低咁,一些以為做得好的股份,卻因為政治環境改變,多年來賺到的錢,一下子話跌就跌,即使用月供方式來投資,都一樣要蝕錢😫,究竟月供股票是否再不合時宜呢?

何解月供股票冇以前咁吸引

月供股票之所以受歡迎,因為入場費低。買港股係以一手做買賣單位,一手可以係500股,或者一千股,令到一啲熱門嘅藍籌股,入場費閒閒哋要一萬、二萬元,唔係個個投資新手買得起,或者願意把所有資金投放在單一股票身上,這個時候,透過月供股票計劃會是一個好選擇。

月供股票另一個好處係,免卻選擇入市時機的煩惱,以前的觀念是,只要揀到一隻優質股票就唔太擔心揀錯入市時機,可以放長線釣大魚,股票越買越跌都冇大問題,遇到跌市,同樣的資金可以買得更多的股票。

以上種種都是以前的說法。睇番近幾年以來,香港股市表現唔太好,跌多過升,用月供股票投資,即使接長線都未必一定有錢賺。以月供股票熱門之選盈富基金(2800)為例,5年以嚟越買越跌,唔知幾時先係收成期。

圖:盈富基金5年走勢

另一方面,中國的政策改變咗好多,政策一收緊,就影響了整個營商環境,長線買入一隻中資股,不幸遇上政策一改,股票就應聲大跌,之後未必可以返到家鄉。

再者近年越來越多人投資美股,買美股的入場費低,一股都可以買賣,唔使幾百蚊,熱門嘅美股藍籌公司都有唔少選擇,打破咗入場門檻高嘅關卡,這樣又令到香港的月供股票吸引力減少。

月供股票是否不合事宜呢?

事實上,今時今日利用月供股票投資港股,尚未算不合時宜,但要做多一啲功夫,要識揀時機和股票。投資再唔可以太隨意,要做多啲功夫:

1 選擇優質股票
這是老常談,但也是投資最基本的一步。

2. 小心易受政策影響的行業
有些股份易受中國政策影響,特別是跟民生息息相關,或者太大隻隨時被指為壟斷市場。這類股票一旦被政策盯上,整個投資環境會變得好快,投資要小心。

3. 小心經濟敏感度高股票
例如銀行股、航運股、資源類股份,經濟好會升得快,經濟唔好,跌得仲快,入市時機重要,過了好景的周期,未知幾時是下一波,可重返家鄉。

4. 經常做檢討
要留意投資大環境,香港經濟發展跟內地已不可以分割,中國經濟增長如果長年打横行,投資回報未必吸引,所以投資也要因時制宜,定期檢討做下功課,唔好以為月供股票長線一定賺。錯過咗時機,就會白白浪費時間。

結語

總括來說,港股嘅經濟動力比以前減弱咗唔少,投資無論係長線定短線,無論一次過買入一隻股票,或者用月供股票方式投資,要比以前更努力,做多啲功課,揀啱時機入市,先係增加勝算嘅機會。

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