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[標普指數]邊隻美股大藍籌做得好

誰說大笨象不會跳舞?美股當中,標普500指數的大藍籌,年初至今即使遇上肺炎疫情,股價都有不錯的增長。五大巨企FAAMG,包括Facebook(FB)、蘋果(AAPL)、亞馬遜(AMZN)、微軟(MFST)、Google(GOOGL),除Google ,股價升幅超過三成。

今次整理標準普爾指數比重最大的20隻股份,作一個簡單的檢閱,讓大家進一步了解美國股市的大藍籌。首先再俾多少少背景大家。

標普指數跟納斯達克指數有什麼不同?

標普指數是美股中,最有廣泛代表性的指數,納斯達克指數不包含金融股,指數側重科技股。而標普指數則包括金融股在內,於紐約交易所和納斯達克上市的公司。

要成為標普指數成份股也不容易。要有齊以下的資格:

市值至少82億美元,折合639.6億港元 (2019年2月指引)
至少有50%股票可供公眾買賣
股價至少每股1美元
固定資產和收入,至少有50%在美國
至少連續四個季有錢賺

這些條件只是最低要求,不保證合資格的股票一定會被列入標普500指數。

近年的股王Telsa(TSLA),剛取得連續四季有錢賺的條件,拿了入場券,有望晉身成為標普指數的成份股,不過能否成事也要留待日後指數公司檢討結果後才會揭曉。

標普股份第二季業績勝預期

據FactSet的統計顯示,至今為止標普指數中,有89%公司公布了2020年第二季業績,成績普遍都有交代,83%盈利表現(每股盈利)好過預期,比例高於五年平均水平,其中,超過九成資訊科技公司沒有令市場失望,難怪股市如此暢旺。


圖1 標普成份股(不同行業)在第二季盈利表現(跟市場預期比較)
綜色:表現差過預期
黃色:表現一如預期
綠色:表現好過預期

邊隻美股藍籌最標青?

標普500指數最大規模的20隻藍籌中,股價做得最好的,以科技股為主,晶片製造商NVIDIA今年以來,升了九成,疫情下,受惠股還有網上支付服務商PayPal也升了八成多,表現遠好過Mastercar及Visa。疫情下,最受打擊之一的行業,是酒店和旅遊業同,迪士尼都要跌一成。

圖2 標普20隻大藍籌今年以來(7/8/2020)股價表現

圖3 標普20隻佔比重最大藍籌(按7/8/2020股價)

留意資金換馬

由於市場資金泛濫,投資者熱烈追捧疫情的受惠股,這些多以科技股為主。值得注意的是隨著科網股升幅顯著,部份的資金已有換馬的跡象,特別是當疫情方面傳來利好的消息,或者經濟數據轉佳,落後傳統經濟股份出現反彈,科網股剛好相反,疲態畢露。 大家投資時,要看看是高追科網股,還是研究一些落後股份。

不過,今年市場環境十分複雜,經濟處於低谷,不過不少股份逆市大升,估值再不便宜,雖然資金充裕,不過股市的波動隨着大選之期越來越近,可能變得反覆,投資的時候還是審慎一點好些。稍後會詳細跟大家討論一些市場環境的特別事項。

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