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[美股]2021年油股會大翻身?

2020年可算是石油類股份最糟糕的一年,肺炎疫情的打擊令到經濟沉於谷底,油價低到再無可低,油股自然冇運行,不過,近期好似否極泰來, 踏入2021年,隻隻都生猛番晒,成為表現標青的重磅股。

近期美國多間投資大行全部轉晒口風,將埃克森美孚(Exxon Mobil, XOM)的投資評級提高,認為是復甦概念的高息股,具有吸引力。這隻油股年初至今已經升超過18%,同類型的油股都有一成以上的升幅,可謂擺脫去年的弱勢。

其實油股大翻身並不是限於美股才有,香港上市幾隻大型的石油股,表現一樣非常突出,成為今年以來,兩個多星期中,十大升幅最多的股份。

圖:公司資料

圖:油股股價表現(截至 19/1/2021)

隨着疫苗的出現,市場憧憬各地的經濟可以回復生機,逐步恢復正常,令到一些經濟周期性或者敏感度比較高的行業如石油、銀行等可以復甦過來。

事實上國際油價自從去年11月跌穿了每桶40美元之後,已經逐步回升,踏入2021年更加突破每桶50美元。油價升,石油類股份自然會跟上來。


圖: 紐約期油近半年走勢

石油股的特色就是大大隻,派息非常吸引,以埃克森美孚為例,息率高達7%,不過值得留意的是這一類的資源股波動比較大,對經濟敏感度又比較高,經濟差收入減少自然就會下跌,經濟回復增長,收入上升,派息吸引,又有一批支持客,特別是食息一族。

(21/1/2021)

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