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美股3隻高息股邊隻夠穩陣?

美股走勢在2022年唔多好,股票出現多年來的重大調整,唔少股民都輸多贏少。股市表現差,好似股神巴菲特話齋,退潮之後就知邊個冇着泳衣。美股當中,有幾隻熱門以穩健或價值投資見稱,究竟邊隻跑到出嚟?

講緊呢3隻基金,分別是股神畢菲特的投資旗艦巴郡(BRK)、股息貴族嘅ETF:ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF (NOBL),以及一隻專門投資價值股份的VANGUARD VALUE ETF (VTV)。

三隻投資基金喺去年的表現都能夠跑贏大市,大市跌佢都無可避免要跟跌,但就跌得比較少,只有幾個百份點的跌幅。

圖:3隻基金一年總回報(股息+股價)(截至17/1/2023年止)

1. 巴郡(BRK)


講到呢隻基金相信冇人唔識,畢菲特的投資旗艦,這家以價值投資見稱的控股公司,主要投資在保險、鐵路、公用事業、製造業服務、零售和住房建築等。

巴郡的投資以價值投資見稱,唔多喜歡科技股,而去年跌得最多也正正是科技公司。

2. ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF: (NOBL)

這隻專門投資在股息貴族的ETF,揀選股票的條件是連續25年增加派息的大藍籌,同時股票買賣要夠活躍。一般來說,高息股票表現都會比較穩定,至少有一班忠實食息一族的支持。

這隻基金投資的股票一般都是較為傳統的大藍籌,同時科技股佔比重較少,所以去年的跌幅也較輕微。

基金5隻持股量最多的股份包括:W.W. Grainger (1.73%)、雪佛龍Chevron (1.71%) 、Nucor Corp(1.71%)、Archer-Daniels Midland (1.69%)及埃克森美孚Exxon Mobil Corp(1.68%)。

3. VANGUARD VALUE ETF (VTV)

這隻ETF主要投資在價值被低估的大藍籌身上。持最多的5隻股份包括:巴郡 (3.07%) 、UnitedHealth Group Inc. (3%) 、Johnson & Johnson (2.7%) 、Exxon Mobil Corp. (2.4%) 、JPMorgan Chase & Co. (2%) 。

上述3隻基金,去年的表現可以用突出來形容,連同派發的股息在內,跌幅相當輕微,對於一些追求稱健的股民來說,都算是有所交待。以一年走勢表現唔差得好遠,不過,5年角度似乎股息貴族有睇頭。

圖:3隻基金5年總回報(股息+股價)

2023年表現會如何?


這些類型的價值投資股份,通常投資較保守,也可以說是較穩健,如果股市再波動,它們繼續可以跑贏大市,如果今年股市轉勢雨過天晴,好大機會會跑輸大市,這也是投資在穩健見稱股份的特質。但以一個長線的角度,組合內有一些穩健型股份,都可以令到投資較為平衡,唔使咁波動,換言之要看閣下的投資取向。

(19/1/2023)

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