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邊類股幫你抗通脹?

通脹升溫可能是近期較熱的投資主題,通脹問題已不是停留在擔心的階段,而是開始有跡象支持,大家考慮投資的時候,或者都可以將這個主題加入研究之內。

什麼是通脹?相信唔需要詳細解釋,基本生活物價不斷上升、越買越貴,手上的錢越來越唔值錢。倘若通脹不斷升溫,就要考慮下如何抗通脹,至少保住自己的錢不會縮水。

近期不同的範疇,從出口廠商到零售層面,都提到物價上升了,所以考慮要加價,最多人認識的可樂(KO)公司,佢地CEO上月中都話,打算加價抵銷物價的升幅。

通脹來臨持有現金最蝕底, 股票投資會是抗通脹的一個方法,而在通脹升溫之下那些股份會最受惠呢? 看一看今年以來,表現最好的是那一類股票,大家或會有些頭緒。

能源股一馬當先

用標普指500分類指數做個參考,年初以來表現最好的就是能源股,包括石油類股份, 上升了超過33.7%,當中兩隻龍頭股埃克森美孚(EXON)及雪佛龍(CVN)大升超過4成及2成半。

此外,金融股以及地產股分別大幅上升了23%及17%,金融股的龍頭美銀(BAC)及畢菲特的巴郡(BRK-A)亦升了34%及21%。地產股方面,不少的REITs都有不錯的表現。

通脹升溫,工業及原材料都要加價,這兩類的股份,同樣升16%,跑贏大市。

以上今年以來表現突出的股票,都是通脹來臨時的受惠股。

圖: 標普指數各類股份今年以來股價表現(截至2021年5月3日止)

去年下半年,大家仍然講緊擔心經濟問題,幾個月過去市場的焦點開始改變了,回到通脹升溫的主題,市場的話題經常變,大家投資的時候要留意大環境的變化,如果經濟反彈之後無以為繼,通脹的話題只曇花一現。

(5/5/2021)

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