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一隻低位反彈600%的航運股

股市裡的機會主義者:對沖基金,買貨唔會話俾大家知,不過買得多自然暴露痕跡,相信近期佢地嘅心頭好,都會包括呢類復甦概念的股份:航運股。如果唔係,點會咁多航運股從低位強勁反彈?

以其中一隻美國航運股Star Bulk Carriers(SBLK )為例,從2020年的低位,反彈咗超過六倍,即係600%😱。

近兩年隨着世界主要經濟區,慢慢走出疫情的陰霾,經濟轉趨活躍,市場需求反彈,航運業自然係受惠者。以波羅的海綜合指數(Baltic Dry Index, BDI)為例,2020年跌到落谷底,之後強勁反彈,而隨著通脹、經濟表現高高低低出現唔少波動。

甚麼是波羅的海指數?

波羅的海是航運業的經濟指標,是散貨原料的運費指數。需求大航運費自然加完又加,航運業收入也水漲船高。所以見到不少的航運股紛紛轉虧為盈。

圖:波羅的海指數5年表現

航運股炙手可熱

唔講大家未必咁覺,航運股早已成為炙手可熱吸納對象,不少對沖基金經理早已默默掃貨。

上面提到的Star Bulk,是一家全球航運公司,提供全球海運服務,運送貨品包括鐵礦石、煤炭和穀物,以及鋁土礦、化肥和鋼鐵產品等小型散裝貨。公司目前擁有9艘乾散貨船。

其實唔止Star Bulk做得好, 其他航運企業,包括Golden Ocean Group Limited (GOGL)及ZIM Integrated Shipping (ZIM),股價表現亦都有睇頭,紛紛跑贏大市。

圖:SBLK、ZIM及GOGL三年股價表現

圖:航運企業簡介

投資留意事項

值得一提這些航運股派息看似非常吸引,不過這類股份屬於經濟敏感度高、周期性的股份,好景的時候股價升得好快,派息亦都好慷慨,但市況逆轉,無論股價或未來派息,隨時都會來話變就變,投資宜短不長。

近期環球經濟不時有好消息又有壞消息,主要經濟數據受高通脹及息口因素影響,航運股表現自然會波動。

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