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何解咁多人喜歡NVIDIA?

踏入9月美國科技股出現的調整更加明顯,不過在靜市當中,有一隻科技股近日新聞多多,這就近年受到不少股民熱捧的英偉達(Nvidia, NVDA)。

Nvidia上星期宣佈,計劃以400億美元(約3,120億港元),向軟銀收購晶片設計公司Arm,超越2016年軟銀買下Arm時的320億美元,創了半導體史上最大的交易紀錄。收購成功的話,亦大大改寫晶片市場的版圖。


相片來源:Nvdia網站

何解Nvidia咁強勢?

記得多年之前,筆者頗為熱衷製作3D圖像及電腦影像的特效,這都需要快速的處理器,奈何當時家中電腦處理器仍是用緊CPU, 每製作一動作想看看效果,都要等待很久時間,差不多沖完杯咖啡回來都未得,逼住換了有GPU(Graphic Processing Unit)的電腦。自此就深深體會GPU的重要性😅。

今時今日,無論你是製作3D的圖像,或是走入虛擬的世界打遊戲機,甚至是大數據年代,都要一部快速運算的處理器。事實上,Nvidia的GPU早已獲Amazon (AMZN)的AWS、阿里巴巴(BABA)的「阿里雲」、Google (GOOGL)的Cloud Platform和微軟(MSFT)的Azure等主要雲端服務商採用。

股價越跑越快

過去十年,Nvidia的回報超過45倍,跑得快過對手英特爾(Intel, INTC)和AMD(AMD)。今年以來,在科網熱之下,它的股價亦都升超過一倍,可算是強勢沒法擋,亦是好多人話買了NVDA股票 “無得輸”的原因。

圖1 Nvidia、Intel及AMD十年回報(股價+股息)

Nvidia一直是遊戲處理器市場的龍頭,公司在GPU市場一直稱霸,但半導體市場競爭相當激烈,對手Intel和AMD步步進迫,令到這個肥豬肉市場競爭日益激烈。Nvidia收購Arm後,將可大大提升它在半導體市場的地位。


圖2 Nvidia、Intel及AMD基本資料

何解Nvidia要買Arm?

Arm主要從事晶片設計,它的收入來自設計版權。它在手機處理器上擁有超過90%的市場佔有率,蘋果、三星、高通等企業都是採用Arm設計的晶片或技術。或者蘋果迷更清楚,嚟緊的蘋果Mac機將改用自研Arm架構的晶片,結束過去15年來與Intel的合作,據聞用Arm的新機會平好多、快好多,連筆者都好期待😄。

市場對Nvidia收購消息未算興奮,因為交易是否成事存有不少變數。同時亦有評論覺得收購價太高,加上Nvidia股價上升不少,又遇上近期科技股腳軟軟,可以預料Nvidia的股價也會較為波動。不過長線來說,筆者仍會看好這隻股份。

以上不是投資推介,筆者持有Nvidia。

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