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呢隻美股房產基金ETF跑贏領展

唔少人投資領展,主要貪佢大大隻,業務好似較穩定,又有唔錯股息收,奈何這隻基金做下做下,賣咗啲穩定收入嘅街坊商場物業,走去做埋發展商,又去投資海外,搞到負債增加要大折讓供股,向小股東伸手要錢,如果大家心淡的話,睇下美股有乜選擇吧。

今次介紹一隻投資在REITs的ETF,名為Vanguard Real Estate ETF(VNQ),主要是投資在美國REITs的ETF。同類型來說,資產規模算是比較大的一隻。

圖:VNQ基本資料

過去兩年,各地股市普遍表現不濟,受惠今年初股市氣氛改善,最近兩年VNQ的回報力保不失,微升0.28%,相比香港的恒生指數31%的跌幅,以及領展錄得23%負增長,表現已經不錯,但比標普指數的4.7%回報略低。

再拉長少少來看,過去5年,VNQ股價升了18.44%,而領展跌了17%。

圖:VNQ及領展5年股價表現

領展在供股前息率為5.7%,而VNQ則為3.6%,當然買美股收息香港要付三成的稅項,扣稅後股息的回報為2.5%。

REITs回復動力?

受到近年息口不斷上升的影響,這隻ETF表現不太好,不過市場普遍預期今年息口上升的步伐減慢,甚至停止加息,如果經濟衰退的話,明年初更加有機會見到減息,在這些憧憬和預期下,收租股的表現或會改善。

VNQ投資的都是大大隻的REITS,十大持股量最多的股份,有些筆者之前介紹過,有不同類型的房地產物業,投資遍及全球各地,包括數據中心、無線電訊的發射台等。當中筆者在20隻2022年跌得多的美股名單中,都包括埋Realty Income (DLR),去年這隻REIT 股價跌了41%,今年初以來反彈了一成,最近基金公布業績,派息增加了,無疑對小股東來說,是利好的消息。

圖:VNQ十大持股

港股的REITS,筆者一向都唔算太喜歡,因為普遍的質素唔太靚,多是本地大地產商套現工具。不過早幾年在低息的環境下,這類的REITs尚可一談,當息口回升,REITs跌得多時,息率再高都補唔到股份跌損失,加上優質收租股都調整咗,要吸納當然揀啲質素好啲。與其揀領展,不如揀隻優質的收租股,或者美股的REITS。

不過,見到近幾年香港的政治及經濟環境轉型,本地的地產股筆者的興趣都大減。

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