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微軟的賣點

在產品應用上,我是一個蘋果迷,不過投資方面,暫時對蘋果(AAPL)興趣不大,反而覺得微軟(MSFT)有賣點。

近年來微軟的業務平穩增長,發展空間大,著眼點就是天上哪舊雲☁️☁️雲端業務。美國科技巨企FAAMG中,微軟一向唔搶鏡,但其實有賣點,最近公布的季度業績亦都再次確認這點,下面慢慢解釋。

FAAMG指Facebook(fb)、Amazon(AMZN)、Apple、Microsoft 及Google。

圖片來源:公司網頁

講開又講,上個星期筆者工作效率認真差,原因就是微軟Word的軟件出問題,我花了不少時間去修正。其實個人用開Apple的Pages及 Numbers,已經比較少用Word或Excel,不過與外間公司聯繫,文件唔用Word唔得,始終都離不開微軟的軟件😂,它在商業上已經有壟斷性的地位,這也可以說是護城河。

微軟上星期公布了季度業績,表現好過預期,令到股價大幅上升。各項業務全方位都有不錯的表現,不過焦點當然就是雲上☁️的業務。公司業績公布之後,換來不少的掌聲。

肺炎疫情令到家居工作成為常態,亦都令到企業加快轉型,推動了微軟的商業雲端服務收入上升了34%,達到167億元。第二季度公司收入按年上升17%,遠好過市場預期的10%。

大家有興趣可以按此去公司網頁睇睇業績內容。

微軟雲端業務是焦點

近年微軟在雲端業務的發展令人另眼相看,此外,公司的業務分散,幾個業務核心包括:雲端業務(Office產品、Azure等)、遊戲(Xbox等)及電腦設備(Surface等電腦產品),都有不錯的表現,當中的引擎是網上平台Azure。


圖:FAAMG公司資料

在FAAMG五大巨企股價表現當中,微軟的股價並不輸蝕,三年來增加了147%,跑得快過Amazon、Google及Facebook。過去一年受到肺炎疫情影響,商業活動受挫,但股價仍然能夠有38%的增長,已經算不錯了。

在這五隻股份中,Facbook及Google未見好吸引,同時未來歐美的監管有可會收緊,Facebook又見到網絡移民潮,所以都唔太識睇。Amazon市盈率高達90倍,如果未來增長速度減慢,好難支持這麼高的估值。至於蘋果和微軟,PE分別約36及35倍,以業務的增長和活力,似乎微軟樂觀一點,至少雲端的發展仲有好大的空間,業務增長未必好似其他科技股升得咁勁,始終唔係細公司,但以這個估值及前景,安全系數又好似比其他FAAMG高。


圖:FAAMG股價表現

換句話說,微軟的業務股價未必好似一啲科網股等走得咁快,用估值及前景看,跑起上來步伐比較扎實和有後勁。有興趣的話,盯緊微軟Azure的表現,這會是動力引擎。

提提大家,這不是投資推介,投資要自己做功課。筆者並無持有微軟。

(1/2/2021)

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