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房產基金仲係唔係收息之選?

房地產信托基金(REITs)曾經是食息一族的心頭好,因為這類企業會將淨賺的錢九成以上用來派息,令到息率比一般股票高,同時收租業務又較穩定,不過,近年REITs表現大不如前,股民長揸不放,可能要賺息蝕價,蝕錢收場。

財政司司長日前在出席香港房託基金協會成立儀式上講到,目前有11隻房託基金在港上市,香港係亞太區其中一個主要REITs市場。至7月底,本港房託基金市場市值超過2100億港元,規模較2005年初首隻房託基金上市時增長5倍。

換言之,17年間香港上市的REITs,規模只增長5倍,無論是市值或數目,成績其實是強差人意。REITs的股價表現更加冇眼睇🙈。

領展都跌唔少

去年REITs曾經出現過反彈,曾令人有一番憧憬,不過,香港的嚴厲的防疫政策,令到香港對外商的吸引力大減,中港兩地的商業活動未見曙光,本地經濟又唔太理想,再加上美國加息步伐越加越快,無論係寫字樓、酒店、商業,以及工業廠房,需求都跌到谷底,業主又哪有條件加租?這樣下去,令到普遍以收租為主要業務的REITs難有運行,香港如是,來自內地的REITs都一樣。

香港上市的REITs,近一年都跌得唔少。以龍頭REITs 領展(0823)為例,近一年都跌超過咗一成,即使派息近5厘,都補唔番股價跌的損失,再者,美國十年期國庫券的回報都有約3%,投資這類風險低的債券,吸引過股價波動,前景未明的REITs。

代號名稱3年股價表現1年股價表現年初至今息率市值(億元)
00405越秀房產-52.3%-38.5%-24.5%11.3%114.9
87001匯賢-72.4%-46.3%-37.1%10.6%54.4
01503招商局房託N/A-14.1%-2.3%10.0%28.8
01426春泉-17.5%-8.6%2.7%8.3%39.3
00808泓富-21.2%-23.8%-25.3%7.7%34.5
00778置富-29.7%-22.9%-19.7%7.0%127.5
00435陽光房產-27.8%-20.9%-12.7%6.8%63.7
01881富豪-34.8%-16.8%-9.8%6.7%42.0
02778冠君-32.5%-22.3%-14.3%6.7%203.7
02191順豐房託N/A-30.6%-12.6%5.7%24.3
00823領展-31.2%-13.8%-10.1%5.0%1304.1

表:香港上市REITs資料(截至26/8/2022)

房產基金仲係唔係收息之選?

香港上市的本地房地產基金在近一年來,跌幅一成多至兩成,表現普遍仲差過大市,難怪近期已少人問津。事實上,在加息的周期下,香港的樓市都有機會回落,加上移民潮影響下,樓市可謂更加冷淡,疫情管控措施未大幅放寬,本地消費及其他經濟活動難恢復正常,REITs這類股份吸引力有限。

值得指出的是,內地房託的息率看似吸引,但倘若人民幣持續偏軟,資產價格便會下跌,有損股份的吸引力,加上內地經濟增長大不如前,投資要多做功課。

(29/8/2022)

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