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[投資美股]我喜歡的三隻半導體股份

近年炙手可熱的科技股,因為之前累積升幅太多,表現有啲呆呆滯滯,不過,不少半導體股份年初以來,仍然能夠跑贏大市,原因好簡單,行業的發展去到高增長期,市場需求大,同時入行門檻高,股價調整時都容易吸引一批捧場客。

半導體是先進電子產品的基本材資,無論是智能手機、電腦,電子遊戲機都有需求。而近年大勢所趨的5G技術,以及電動車的興起,進一步令到半導體業需求大增,相關的股份特別是龍頭企業,股價好像長升長有,大漲小回。

去年即使面對疫症肆虐,全球經濟活動都受到影響,但半導體產品的需求仍然有增無減,半導體業的銷售錄得6.5%的增長,去到4390億美元。由於求過於供,全世界都出現晶片短缺情況。

晶片供應緊張,對各行業都帶來影響,特別是近年冒起的電動車, 就因為晶片供應緊張,各大車廠面臨減產危機,包括Volkswagen、福特汽車(Ford)等。各大車廠好像各地政府撲疫苗一樣,四處去搶晶片。作為全球晶片主要製造的台積電(TSM),亦要承諾將提高晶片產能,配合解決車用晶片不足的問題。

在半導業中,筆者比較喜歡三隻股份包括:台積電、NVDIA和ASML。


圖:半導體股份資料

台積電

電動車晶片大缺貨,令到台積電這家全球市值最大半導體公司成為焦點。台積電是晶圓代工廠,產品主要由人家設計交過來生產。

半導體屬於周期性的產品,一向以來需求有起有落,加上股價近年飈升不少,多了人擔心估值太高。不過,市場對晶片的渴求預期短期內都難解決,所以行業前景仍然被看高一線。

台積電的股價過一年上升了超過一倍,達到144%,今年以來,升勢持續,兩個多月已經上升18%。

NVDIA

NVIDIA是一家以設計和銷售圖形處理器為主的半導體公司,佢哋都要靠台積電幫手生產晶片。先進的遊戲機、電腦及數據中心等都唔少得NVIDIA嘅處理器。

公司剛公布的季度業績好過市場預期,不過股價即刻插水,因為估值實在並不便宜。NVDIA股價在過一年上升超過一倍,而今年以來股價亦有6%的升幅。

ASML

這一間荷蘭的半導體裝置製造商,技術相當先進,晶片越出越細,要有好先進的設備先可以做到,咁就要搵ASML。全球絕大多數半導體生產廠商,包括台積電、Intel、三星等等,都要都向ASML採購設備,所以半導體業好景,ASML必然受惠。


圖:半導體股份股價表現(截至1/3/2021)

半導體業受惠5G、數據中心,以及智能電動車等的興起,市場需求大,加上行業的入行門檻相當高,相關的龍頭企業擁有近乎壟斷的市場領導地位,令到業務發展如日中天,前景都被看高一線,不過,連年的急升,今到股值不便宜,這也是令到部份投資者卻步的原因,大家要留意股價的波動。

利申:筆者曾持有ASML及NVDIA,因為股價升得唔少,所以早前換馬到一些落後股份,不過,如果日後股價回落,或許會是入市的時機🤔。

遲下會為大家介紹投資半導體股的ETF

(3/3/2021)

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