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檢閱12隻高息增長股2021H1

港股近期的投資氣氛並不太好,對壞消息的反應特別敏感,恒生指數昨日大跌800多點,令到港股今年的升幅,完全消失晒。今年投資港股,可能令到唔少股民空歡喜一場,年頭係威係勢,到第二季就走晒樣。今次我們檢閱的12隻股份,有10隻跑贏大市,不過第二季的動力確實減弱。

科技股今年的環境可謂屋漏兼逢連夜雨,市場的投資焦點,原本從去年急升的科技股,轉移到傳統舊經濟身上,科技股的動力本身減弱中,再遇中央政府嚴格監管政策,中資科技巨企不少跌到四腳朝天,熱錢加速溜走。

我們檢閱的12隻高息、增長股中,並沒有來自中資的科技股,所以受影響有限,表現普遍都能夠跑贏大市。

12隻高息增長股中兩隻跑輸大市

過去多年我們選出一批本地熱門高息、增長型的股份來到檢閱和討論,今年年頭就稍為調整股份組合,大家如果有興趣,可以重溫一下早前的文章。

2021年上半年港股表現是先升後回, 年頭的時候熱錢湧入推高港股,炒完一輪追落後之後,升勢變得無以為繼。再遇上中央對科網股的嚴厲政策影響,大市表現進一步走樣。反而平平穩穩的舊經濟股,表現仍有一定的支持。

12隻檢閱的高息、增長股中,半數劃分為高息股、另一半屬於增長型股份,前者的股息普遍在3厘以上,屬於吸引水平,加上股價上升,都算是財息兼收。而增長型公司賺錢主要靠股價升值,6隻當中,有兩隻股價見紅,也是跑輸大市的兩隻。

高息股財息兼收

煤氣(0002) 今年表現不俗,計及上半年派發20送一紅之後,未計現金派息都有一成的回報。這6隻高息股中,恒生銀行(0011)表現最好, 通脹憂慮升溫,息率走勢有機會上升,這都有利銀行的經營,加上銀行業捱過去年的低潮,有望回復派高息,所以股價有支持。恒生的表現還遠好過它的母公司滙豐(0005),恒生股價升了14%,滙豐的升幅就只得約8%。

九倉置業(1997)依然是筆者喜歡的收租股,資產質素靚,經濟好、旅遊業復甦的話,即使遇上通脹升,它有條件加租來抗通脹。

香港電訊(6823)有科技股的 “因子” ,科技股回軟,它也無可避免跟大隊。


圖:六隻高息股表現(截至8/7/2021)

維他奶靠的不是香港市場

選出來討論的6隻增長股中,維他奶(0345)成為近期的話題,七一警員遇襲,涉事員工離世,公司人事部一封內部文件,意想不到引起 軒然大波,擊起內地人的抵制潮。 中國市場一向都是維他奶的增長點,亦都是主要、最大的收入來源,事件當然令到股價跌到四腳朝天。

沒有發生以上事件前,維他奶的股價已經表現不太理想。肺炎疫情影響業務,加上近期在通脹升溫的憂慮下,原材料加價會影響公司收入,股價累積大升多年,估值不便宜,再遇上種種負面因素,走勢變得好難睇🙈。

不過,有人 睇淡亦有人睇好,股價大跌獲主要股東的增持。前幾天(5/7/2021)維他奶主要股東之一,日本三菱日聯金融集團,以每股平均價25.7969元增持409.8萬股,未計手續費,用咗1.06億元,持股量由15.91%增至16.29%。

友邦(1299)的表現也不太好,中港跨境旅遊恢復時間延遲,業務增長未及市場預期,都影響表現。

港交所走勢強

內地收緊中概股境外上市,中概股去美國市困難,港交所(0388)自然受惠,難怪內地政府收緊中概股上市消息傳出,港交所逆市企得穩。年初至今升了一成半。

另一隻做好的是創科,第二季港股回軟,創科表現算是守得住,保持首季的表現,上升一成六。


圖:六隻增長股表現(截至8/7/2021)

筆者早前有專文分享部份股份的看法,大家有興趣的話,不妨重溫過往文章。

🔥 去年我買咗呢隻公用股 成績是…

🔥 新意網定美股Equinix好?一年回顧

🔥 銀行股回勇 我喜歡呢隻高息股

利申:筆者持上述多隻股份。

(9/7/2021)

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