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由Deliveroo英國史上最差新股講起

Deliveroo在三月最後一個交易日喺英國上市,第一日股價收市急挫26%,有人話這是英國史上最差的大型新股。這個結局當然令到很多人失望。分析失敗原因,其實反映新股上市包含咗好多意義,今次跟大家討論一下。

圖片來源:公司網站

一向以來,筆者對於新股上市,興趣只是一般的,如果公司夠大、有特色(賣點)或聲譽較好,就會襯下熱鬧,否則都會擺埋一邊,遲吓先再研究。

新股上市,其實對小股東來說,是一個博弈的遊戲。一間公司如果做得好,唔出聲都有銀行家走上門,主動想借錢俾你,點解要招股上市呢?究竟是公司想籌集更多錢大展拳腳,定係等錢洗,或者公司的發展去到高峰期,見到環境勢色唔對,要跟公眾分擔風險?

大家認購新股時,要諗一諗公司上市背後的原因,所以招股書就要望一望,特別是公司發展有什麼風險因素值得留意,這也是筆者經常提醒大家要注意的事項。不少的傳統投資基金,有明文規定不可以涉足新上市的公司,因為公司尚未有往績可尋,風險比較大。

Deliveroo新股反應差原因

Deliveroo是英國近年大型上市的新股,英國方面都寄予厚望,希望可以幫手造下勢,吸引更多新科技的公司到倫敦上市,特別是脫歐之後,英國受到歐洲特別是荷蘭阿姆斯特丹交易所的競爭威脅越來越大,要保住全球金融市場的領導地位,必須有更多高質素、新意念公司上市,可惜今次結局未如人意。

Deliveroo上市反應差,公司已經用招股價下限定價,上市第一日已經急跌,買賣並不活躍,反映股民興趣都不大,究竟是什麼原因呢?

有人歸咎於沽空股動,又話時機並不好,近月科網股已經熱潮冷卻,股價調整不少,亦都有人覺得是公司管治質素有問題,同時上市前無啦啦多了三個唔肯透露背景的基石投資者,公司採用同股不同權架構亦引起爭議。此外,公司尚未有錢賺前景未見太明朗, 在預期肺炎疫情影響減退下,大家可以走出來,毋須焗住留在家中食外賣。亦有人覺得是幫手搞上市的投資大行做得唔好。

要數的問題還多,簡單一句,時機唔好,問題便會出晒嚟。


圖:DoorDash與標普500指數近一個月股價表現

事實上,美國去年熱門的同類新股DoorDash(DASH),投資熱情亦冷卻晒,近一個月以來,股價都跌唔少,不少分析員口風都轉晒,不斷潑冷水,覺得估值太高唔吸引。

總括一句,新股上市要多留意一下風險,特別是人家在監管機構要求下,做了一本厚厚的報告和分析(招股書),都要望望,湊完熱鬧要仲要懂得落車。

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