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經濟好 呢3隻周期ETF有運行

銀行股、石油股、金屬股,這些股份有甚麼共通點?這些都是今年以來,較為突出的股份,因為佢地屬於周期性行業。這類股份捱咗唔少日子,近期終於可以搶番風頭。

股票有不同的性格,有些經濟差的時候有更好的表現,另外有啲跟經濟走勢一樣,經濟好股價做好,經濟差股價潛水,這屬於周期性股票。

銀行、石油、資源類的公司,是周期性股票的表表者,比其他行業的經濟敏感度更加高,所以一旦經濟從谷底回升,踏上上升周期,這類的股份自然重拾升軌。原因好簡單,經濟好、商業活動增加,貨物銷售好啲,出口上升,對原材料及石油需求上升,銀行的生意又做多啲,這類企業在經濟好的周期,收入增加,股價自然有運行。

近期銀行股公布業績,好多都好省鏡;銅價創10年新高;油價從年頭每桶40多美元,升到60美元以上,升幅接近三成,這都是近期周期性股票當旺的推動力。

周期性股份叫得做周期,自然是有起有落,所以想取得好一些回報,最好是要審時度勢,否則升完一輪又可能打回原形。

筆者去年底、今年初都介紹過銀行、油股,今次不作重複,轉過來介紹相關的ETF。對個別介紹過的股份有興趣,可以重溫以下文章,事實上,相關股都升了不少,早期入市應該都有唔少進賬😌。

[美股]2021年油股會大翻身?(21/1/2021)
投資風向轉 邊類美股最出色?(19/2/2021)
揀滙豐? 睇埋美銀、花旗先(24/12/2020)

3隻食正周期的周期性股份ETF

圖:周期性股份ETF基本資料

1. SPDR S&P Bank ETF (KBE)
這一隻ETF主要投資在美國上市的金融和銀行業股份,包括一些按揭保險公司,以及銀行股,投資股份多達九十多隻,主要屬中型的公司。

ETF持股量最多的5隻股份包括:MGIC Investment Corp(MTG), 佔基金比重達1.56%;Essent Group Ltd (ESNT)佔1.53%; Northern Trust Corp(NTRS),佔1.52%;Silvergate Capital (SI),佔1.52%;Bank of America Corp(BAC),佔1.51%。

2. Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE)
投資在能源相關的行業,包括全球最大的石油生產商。主要投資在大型企業身上。

佔基金比重最多的5隻股份包括:埃克森美孚公司(XOM),佔23.04%; 雪佛龍公司(CVX),佔22.19%; EOG Resources(EOG),佔 4.90%; Schlumberger (SLB),佔4.34%; 康菲石油公司(COP),佔4.23%。

3. SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF (XME)
投資在金屬及天然資源,佔基金投資比重最多的5隻股份包括:Newmont (NEM), 佔5.16%;Nucor (NUE), 佔5.05%; Royal Gold(RGLD), 佔4.99%; 美國鋁業Alcoa (AA),佔4.88%; Steel Dynamics (STLD),佔4.74%;

圖:周期性股份ETF股價走勢(截至 26/4/2021)

從這些ETF多年來的股價表現,可以看出走勢頗為波動,以投資能源股份的XLE為例,早十年都冇乜好日子過,只是近年才翻生。這是周期性股份的特色,所以這類投資宜短不宜長。經濟轉差,調整會好快,投資時要留意,同時做好風險管理。

(28/4/2021)

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