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跟畢菲特入市好 定買巴郡好?

雖然股神畢菲特旗下的投資旗艦巴郡(Berkshire Hathaway)(BRK.A)(BRK.B) 近幾年股價卻表現平平,但相信這亦無損支持者對他的擁戴。特別是踏入2022年,巴郡的股價一洗頹風,又可以再為股神省招牌😌。

如果閣下也是畢菲特的支持者,對於這隻老牌、星味濃厚的金融股,會否考慮承勢追入,或者跟他入市呢?

圖:攝影師:Tima Miroshnichenko,連結:Pexels

今個星期的市場焦點,應該都包括埋星期六(26/2/2022)畢菲特會在公司年報,給股東的信。不少人都想看看有甚麼啟示性的內容,包括收購活動、回購股份,以及繼任人的問題等。

有興趣了解畢菲特的看法,可以去到時去到公司的網站,原汁原味睇番佢嘅至股東的信內容。

巴郡做啲乜?

巴郡是一家控股公司,主要持有其他公司的股份,這些公司可以是上市,也可以是未上市的。所以一般人視這家公司為投資基金公司。

圖:巴菲特十大持股及今年股價表現

巴郡今年跑贏大市

近幾年巴郡股價都跑輸大市,但進入2022年,受到通脹升溫,加息步伐可能加快,又加上近期烏克蘭危機影響,美股表現越做越弱,年初以來,在科技股和增長股拖累下,標普指數下跌了一成,而在弱市中,巴郡股價不跌反升,錄得約5%的回報,股價造好主要因為是持有的股份,以金融股佔比重不少,這類周期性的股份,在加息環境下走勢會較強。

圖:巴郡5年股價表現

A股跟B股有其麼分別?

巴郡股份有A股(BRK.A)跟巴郡B股(BRK.B) ,或者大家又會問兩者有何分別?最明顯分別是股價,兩者同屬一間公司股份,A股一股要47萬多美元,唔係好多人買得起,B股一股3百多美元。早年因為A股太貴,普遍散戶難以入市,所以推出B股方便大家參與。當然A股和B股在股權及派息方面都有分別。一般來說,我們提到巴郡,好多時用B股來引述。這類雙股制的運作,日後有機會詳細解釋。

跟畢菲特入市唔一定可以賺錢

巴郡是畢菲特的投資旗艦,而畢菲特是價值投資的代表,是Benjamin Graham「價值投資」的信徒,策略講求紀律、耐性和價值投資。他揀選便宜的公司(市價低於公司實質價值),作一個長線投資。

換言之,投資的對象只會是一些他們了解、有前景,以及由誠實和稱職的管理層領導的企業,當然仲要是股價吸引。

畢菲特有不少追隨者,亦有不少人借用了他的投資哲學來吸客。其實這個投資策略看似好簡單,但運作起來都唔容易。

首先甚麼是便宜、具價值的公司?畢菲特的基金有團隊專做研究,又可以直接跟管理層對話,了解管理層是否信得過,仲要研究員評估一下行業的前景。所以畢菲特入市增持的公司,好多人覺得是經過畢菲特認證,可以踏順風車。

跟畢菲特投資及買他的基金,耐性是相當重要,因為這類的股票好多時都是悶股, 信心和耐性稍有動搖,隨時無功而返。

如何跟股神投資?

跟畢菲特投資有兩個方法,一是買入他的基金,二是跟佢入市。前者投資簡單得多。後者便要長期睇住基金幾時出、幾時入貨,不過今時今日網上有很多工具幫你追蹤股神的動向,所以這個投資方法並不困難。

如果要我揀,對股神有興趣,投資巴郡比跟股神揀隻來得輕鬆方便得多,因為巴郡入市的股份,一般買完貨先向公眾呈報,跟風入市可能股價早已升咗一輪。

(24/2/2022)

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