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邊隻藍籌做得好、派息高

已經有一段日子未有為藍籌股做檢閱,今次簡單列出一個圖表給大家參考。今年以來表現比較出色,普遍屬於傳統的股份。

今年以來, 疫情帶來的影響淡化了,經濟從谷底反彈,市場預期通脹升溫,加上傳統經濟股去年調整不少,資金重回舊經濟股,特別是金融、地產及石油類股份這些傳統行業。

圖:藍籌股今年以來股價表現(截止2/5/2021止)

年初至今,恒生指數一度升超過17%,但升勢無以為繼,衝上高位破埋3萬點後,缺少了資金的推動,大市回落,升幅收窄至只有4.1%。

10隻表現最好的藍籌股中,中信股份(0267)排頭位,這家中資綜合企業,不少業務來自舊經濟(金融、資源能源、製造、工程承包、房地產等),股價多年來都落後大市,今年終於一洗頹風。另一隻好耐都未見過股價做過咁好的滙豐(0005),早前公布的首季業績有睇頭,股份進一步受追捧。中銀香港(3988)亦有不錯表現。

李嘉誠旗下幾隻股份亦都跑贏大市,長實(01113)表現好,年初至今股價升了超過兩成,其中原因是受惠於大股東交易活動(集團向大股東的李嘉誠基金會購入4個基建項目,以及進行股份回購)。至於長和(0001),不少的投資在歐洲,歐洲經濟持續改善,長和的股價也做好。集團另一隻業務主要在歐洲的公用股長江基建(1038)也跑贏大市。

香港本土的藍籌股,仍以創科表現較為強勢,以美國為主要市場,加上創新的電動工具產品又賣得好,令到近年股價都升唔少。人家三年抱兩,佢三年升兩倍。

科技股未能再領風騷

至於去年表現強勢的科技股, 由於股價累積上升不少,年頭開始表現呆滯,近期傳出中央出手加強監管,並且嚴肅整治科網股,以及反壟斷行為,都令到大大隻的中資科技股震盪,表現唔太理想。

派息方面, 仍然以銀行、石油股的派息比較吸引,值得指出的就是這些都是經濟敏感股份,股價比較波動,如果經濟不似預期,調整的速度會很快,賺了股息都未必能夠抵銷股價帶來的影響,打算以長線收息為主的朋友,要認真留意及研究一下。

代號股份一手股數入場費近1個月股價年初至今股價息率
03988中國銀行1,0003,0603.7%15.5%7.7%
03328交通銀行1,0004,930-0.4%20.2%7.7%
00857中石油2,0005,6400.7%17.5%7.4%
00941中國移動50024,975-2.2%13.0%6.6%
00939建設銀行1,0006,080-6.8%3.2%6.4%
01398工商銀行1,0005,000-10.1%-0.6%6.3%
00688中國海外2,00038,760-4.1%15.0%6.1%
00386中石化2,0007,840-6.0%13.0%6.1%
00267中信1,0008,18011.0%49.0%6.0%
01044恒安50025,050-1.6%-8.7%5.9%
00006電能50023,8255.7%13.5%5.9%
02007碧桂園1,0009,220-8.2%-14.0%5.9%
00883中海油1,0008,1600.6%13.7%5.5%
00012恒基地產1,00034,250-1.7%13.2%5.3%
01038長江基建50023,6752.5%13.7%5.2%
00017新世界發展1,00040,8501.0%13.2%5.0%
02628中國人壽1,00015,500-4.0%-9.4%4.9%
02388中銀香港50013,6501.3%16.2%4.6%
00762中國聯通2,0008,9801.8%0.9%4.4%
00016新鴻基地產50058,450-0.8%16.9%4.2%
01109華潤置地2,00072,000-3.2%12.5%4.1%
00002中電50038,4253.0%7.2%4.0%
00823領展1007,3003.8%3.4%3.9%
01113長實50024,2002.8%21.6%3.7%
00001長和50031,3500.4%15.9%3.7%
00011恒生銀行10015,010-0.4%12.3%3.7%
00101恒隆地產1,00021,2003.9%3.7%3.6%
00960龍湖集團50024,275-3.8%6.9%3.5%
01997九倉置業1,00044,7002.9%10.8%3.3%
02318中國平安50041,425-11.6%-12.8%3.2%
00066港鐵50021,550-2.1%-0.6%2.9%
00003中華煤氣1,00012,4202.5%7.2%2.8%
00288萬洲5003,3650.4%3.5%2.6%
00005滙豐40018,9204.3%16.1%2.5%
00388港交所10046,500-0.8%9.4%1.8%
01299友邦保險20019,2701.5%1.4%1.4%
01093石藥集團2,00019,0401.4%20.1%1.3%
02313申洲國際1,000169,7003.9%11.6%1.2%
00175吉利汽車1,00019,800-3.7%-25.3%1.0%
00669創科實業50070,6505.1%27.8%1.0%
01876百威1002,4404.1%-4.7%0.9%
01177中國生物製藥1,0008,4108.4%12.1%0.9%
02319蒙牛乳業1,00040,150-10.7%-14.2%0.8%
02018瑞聲科技50021,3758.2%-1.5%0.7%
02382舜宇50093,4502.2%10.1%0.6%
02020安踏1,000138,4006.0%12.6%0.5%
00700騰訊10062,450-4.5%10.7%0.3%
06862海底撈1,00050,000-8.4%-16.3%0.0%
00027銀河娛樂1,00068,300-4.2%13.4%0.0%
01928金沙中國40014,700-6.1%7.9%0.0%
02269藥明50054,1002.9%5.3%0.0%
00241阿里健康2,00046,200-0.2%0.9%0.0%
03690美團10029,320-10.0%-0.5%0.0%
09988阿里巴巴10022,380-0.8%-3.8%0.0%
01810小米2004,890-7.6%-26.4%0.0%

圖:藍籌表現、派息及入場(按派息排列次序-截止2/5/2021止)

整體來說,港股早前大升,曾跑得快過美股,但很快就上升乏力,還被美股趕上來,港股在沒有大量資金推動,加上去年熱炒的科網股受中國的政策因素困擾,傳統股份好像龜兔賽一樣,慢慢超前番。其實港股有頭威無尾陣己不是新鮮事,看到港股大升也不要太輕奮,正如筆者文章提到,港股多年來波幅大過升幅。

(4/5/2021)

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