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Airbnb 定Booking.com好🤔

Airbnb(ABNB)早前公布業績,令人眼前一亮,股價繼續有得升,自年初以來,股價反彈咗超過四成,確實唔野少。另一邊箱,另一隻同業但唔同經營模式的Booking Holdings (BKNG)亦都有好表現,上星期公布業績好過預期,年初以來,升了25%,兩隻都係筆者頗喜歡的股份,所以又借勢討論一下。

雖然好多人擔心歐美國家在連番大幅度加息下,經濟會陷入衰退,但有啲行為好似係旅行,差不多變咗必需品咁,差極都唔可以戒,我講緊自己😅。

利申一下,我一直持有Booking Holdings 股份,而旅行方面,近年大部份都係幫趁Airbnb,如果book酒店,的話,我就會透過Booking Holdings 旗下的品牌預訂。換言之,無論係股票或者服務,我對呢兩間公司都好有興趣。

在去年我列出來的20隻跌得多的股份中(遲下又會做檢閱),Booking Holdings不入名單之內,因為去年跌得唔夠多,只跌了16%,反而Airbnb榜上有名。

圖:Airbnb 及 Booking Holdings 基本資料

兩間公司有甚麼分別?

Airbnb是一家以共享經濟為基礎的住宿分享服務平台,公司擁有超過6億名會員,在全球超過200國家和地區提供服務,有超過700萬個房源,不過它的收入差不多一半來自美國。

公司在2020年11月上市,吸引地方之一是財務基礎良好,2022年度擁有逾55億美元現金,資本負債比率為26.4%,令公司有條件回購股份。

要指出的是Airbnb面對的旅遊業,市場競爭十分激烈,多家企業如 Booking Holdings), Expedia(EXPE)等都是強勁的競爭對手。不過,在歐美國家經濟放緩下,Airbnb的經營模式所受的沖擊,較傳統的酒店業為低。

在最近公布的2022年第四季度業績,Airbnb的收入及邊際利潤都提升了,同時也擴大了市場佔有率,所以業績一出,股價又再升。

Booking Holdings業績一樣省鏡

Booking Holdings上星期四公布的業績亦都唔差,收入好過市場預期,反映旅遊業市場在經濟不明朗下仍走向復甦。

Booking Holdings屬於一個網上旅遊代理,提供廣泛住宿選擇,包括酒店、度假村、公寓同度假屋等。公司在超過220個國家營運,提供超過三千萬個房源。

它主打的品牌包括:
Booking.com:提供酒店、民宿、公寓等各類住宿預訂服務
Agoda:專注於亞洲市場的住宿預訂網站
Priceline:提供旅遊、租車等多種旅行產品預訂服務
Kayak:旅行搜索引擎,可以比較不同航空公司和旅行網站的價格
OpenTable:提供餐廳預訂服務

Booking Holdings去年受惠各國的防疫措施放寬,旅遊業復常,所以即使去年股市出現大調整,它的股價相對硬淨,只跌了16%,而Airbnb在2022年跌了49%,公司股價自2020年底上市升唔少,估值太高,但近期的反彈後,股價都未返家鄉。

圖:Airbnb 及 Booking Holdings 近一年股價走勢

倘若歐美國家真的受到息口高企影響,經濟陷入衰過,旅遊業也會受影響,但兩者中,以Airbnb受打擊較少,因為大家住唔起酒店,自然會搵平價一點的住宿,這方面也是Airbnb的優勢。

不過,Airbnb近期確實反彈唔少,所以可能又要考慮一下估值,長線來說,這兩隻都是筆者有興趣之選。

(1/3/2023)

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