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Bitcoin 創新高 有乜投資選擇?

比特幣在2021年開局非常凌厲,突破了3萬美元,曾升穿35,000美元再創新高,投資者情緒變得更加瘋狂。此時此刻如果想趁熱鬧但又唔想直接買比特幣,可以有乜嘢選擇呢?

比特幣價格波動一向比較大,價格隨時大起大落,就像2017年的大升市,當時比特幣的價格由1,000美元,急升到19,000美元水平,不過去在2018年底,又速速回落,跌到只得4,000美元,令唔少人都心寒。

事實上,要為比特幣進行估值想當困難, 傳統分析員一般唔係太懂如果衡量它的價值。不過,有人敬而遠之,亦有人視之為寶,就像科技女神Catherine Wood,就是其中一個支持者,旗下的ETF,間接有不少比特幣(下面再解釋)。

比特幣近期急升原因

今次比特幣再度急性,坊間當然又有不同的看法,有人認為今次的形勢跟上一次的大升大落的情況不同。最近再被看好的原因包括:

1. 繼Square 之後,PayPal宣布支援比特幣交易,令到比特幣的需求及交投增加。
2. 財資界態度轉變了,部份對沖基金視比特幣是為另類投資工具。J.P. Morgan 策略師更預期可升至140,000美元。
3. 越來越多年輕人投資比特幣,用作對抗通脹,以及弱美元的對沖。
4. 部份投資者視比特幣為黃金的替代品。

如果大家對比特幣有興趣,但又唔想直接買比特幣,美股有一些投資在比特幣或相關的ETF。

1. Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC)
GBTC是一隻追縱比特幣價格的ETF,透過一些衍生工具例如期貨、掉期等工具追縱比特幣價格走勢。ETF年費較一般高,達到2%。

2. ARK Next Generation Internet(ARKW)
Catherine Wood旗下的ETF,持有不少GBTC,佔基金比重達4.1% (以4/1/2021年市值計),持貨水平僅次於Tesla(TSLA)、ROKU(ROKU)及Square(SQ)。

3. Amplify Transformational Data Sharing ETF(BLOK)
基金規模相對比較細,主要投資在區塊鏈相關技術的股份。


圖:ETF基本資料

這幾隻ETF近年的升勢頗為凌厲,其中以GBTC升幅更加驚人,一年超過三倍。


圖:ETF近年股價走勢

值得一提,比特幣的價格走勢一向都好波動,屬於高風險高回報的投資,今次的升勢會持續多久沒有預計到,大家投資的時候也要注意風險。

(7/1/2021)

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