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Facebook股價插3成 係時候執平貨?

受到業績欠佳拖累, Facebook母公司Meta Platforms(FB)股價大插水,短短一個月之內跌咗三成,持有佢股票的股民真的要喊三聲😰。 呢個時候市場上又出現不同的意見,有人認為跌咁多值得趁低吸納,亦都有人覺得唔吸引。

對筆者來說,對這一家公司興趣不大,跌了三成亦都唔算太吸引,原因之一就是基本因素變壞了,有點大勢已去。

Meta 公布2021年第4季的業績,收入上升了20%,乎合市場預期,全年計收入上升了37%,這張成績表面上有所交代。 業績公布當日,股價插水超過兩成,何解股民唔收貨呢?

原因好多相信不少評論都講過,在此只作簡單的概述:

  1. Facebook 活躍用戶流失嚴重。
  2. 蘋果公司推新政策,影響Facebook等社交媒體追蹤用戶行為,不利廣告收入。
  3. 市場競爭激烈,可謂四面受敵,又有Google搶廣告,又有抖音搶客戶。
  4. 轉型元宇宙,未見成效但就要不斷燒銀紙。
  5. 各地政府反壟斷措施陸續有來。

今年以來,科技公司股價明顯出現調整,而大型科技股中,Meta表現是最差的,年初以來已經下跌三成。

圖:FAAMG股價表現 (11/2/2022)

想執平貨的都有另外一個論調,就是如果大家相信主席朱克伯格,以及他的元宇宙藍圖,便會有一番的憧憬,加上公司旗下產品仍是難以取代,所以股價大大跌,造就趁低吸納的良機。

以基礎分析, 這間公司的估值相對其他的巨企是最低的,但這是否特別吸引力呢?對筆者來說,如果公司盈利增長去到頂峰,與此同時新增業務前景得個講字,仲要應付龐大開支,其實吸引力會大為減少。加上不少科技公司亦都因為在加息陰影下,股價跌到四腳朝天,估值亦都相對吸引,換言之要執平貨,市場上選擇其實不少。

(15/2/2022)

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