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Meta吸引力不如Metal

世事難料局局新,投資市場亦都隨着地緣政局危機升溫而風雲變幻,原本熱炒的議題好快急轉直下,早幾個月前熱炒的元宇宙(Metaverse)股,好多都潛了水,反而熱捧的對象,由虛擬的世界走入地底,Metal股特別是貴金屬股則坐上了直升機,越升越有。

事實上市場的焦點由Metaverse相關股份早已經轉到Matal身上,有關於貴金屬股熱炒,筆者已經有文章介紹過,在這裏不再進一步跟進,反而有興趣討論一下,投資Meta股及Metals股,策略上有什麼不同。

攝影師:Michael Steinberg,連結:Pexels

元宇宙股VS金屬股

Metaverse簡單來說是實體(Physical)、擴增實境(Augmented Reality,簡稱AR)和虛擬實境(Virtual Reality,縮寫為VR)的融合。

自從去年底Facebook 改名做META(FB)之後,元宇宙概念股份成為熱話。除了Facebook這類社交媒體公司,其實不少的科技股或多或少都有元宇宙的元素,如Nvidia (NVDA)and Microsoft(MSFT),前者是硬件供應商,微軟旗下的遊戲業務走著元宇宙方向 。

元宇宙股可說是一遍藍海,有無限的發展空間。它把實體混入虛擬世界,可以發展出很多的用途,也是這個原因,大家都爭相開拓這個市場。但這屬於未來的世界,未是即幾耐?很難說得準,投資世界最喜歡有想像空間的發展,買股票是買未來。不過在未來世界未出現時,資金稍為緊張一點,市場稍有波動,投資者好快變心,走去炒其他股票,只有具耐力和眼光的人士,最終可以實體真正的收成。

相反地Metal金屬股是貼地的股份,從土地掘出來炒供求。 當經濟復甦或政局動盪的時候,這類股份都受追捧。 所以踏入2022年,通脹升溫,歐美地區的經濟開始從疫情恢復過來,加上俄羅斯入侵烏克蘭,令到地緣政局緊張,金屬股例如黃金、白銀等等,股價上升了不少。

圖:Meta與黃金ETF(SPDR Gold, GLD)股價表現

投資Metaverse 定Metal股

兩者的投資策略部很不同,投資元宇宙的股份就是看未來,是長線的投資,期間還要眼光是否精準, 估值可以貴到冇朋友,但表現不似預期就從天堂跌入地獄,所以股價的波動可能會比較大。

金屬股則是經濟敏感度比較高的股份,同時也是短期的資金避難所,所以股價的波動其實亦都較為大,這類股份或較適合中、短線。

(10/3/2022)

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