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Nike、Lululemon還是Under Armour好?

受到肺炎疫情的影響,去年多項大型運動賽事都停止了,零售業受打擊最大,不過一些運動服裝股,似乎未有受到影響,股價仲有大幅的進帳。今次介紹3隻熱門運動服裝股:Nike(NKE) 、Lululemon(LULU)和Under Armour(UAA)。

肺炎疫情打擊了零售銷售,但唔出街shopping,都可以落街跑步、散步做運動。疫情令到大家更加關注健康和運動,即使並不是運動型的,長期留在家中,亦都希望穿着一些舒適、消閑的服裝,這都令到不少運動用品股有唔錯表現,過去一年跑贏大市。


圖:三隻運動服裝股的基本資料

德國的Addidas(ADDYY)上星期公布業績的同時,預期2021年銷售會有強勁的反彈,管理層又拋出5年的鴻圖大計,市場對此相當受落,股價隨即大升。Addidas預期做得好,人們又可能想起了其他的運動服裝股。

Nike 、Lululemon和Under Armour,在過去一年,股價升了超過八成,不過近期動力減慢了。


圖:三隻運動服裝股的股價表現(截至12/3/2021)

NIKE:網上直銷攻略成賣點

Nike近年的表現越走越快,原因就是這一隻國際知名的品牌,能夠捕捉到潮流的步伐,與此同時在肺炎疫情打擊零售店舖的時候,能夠進一步拓展網上的業務。

事實上,即使沒有疫情,公司前景都令人看高一線,賣點之一是成功走向數碼化,公司不斷拓展網上銷售,轉型到直接銷售,令到邊際利潤不斷提升,同時,網上業務增長可謂是全方位,北美、大中華地區等市場都錄得可觀的升幅。

面對經濟競爭對手如 Lululemon的冒起,以及Adidas積極提出鴻圖大計,市場似乎都唔太擔心。

公司將於18號公布業績,大家留意一下,疫情為公司帶來實際的影響。

Lululemon:急速冒起的瑜伽服裝公司

這家瑜伽服裝品牌公司近年急速冒起,發展亦相當進取。無論是實體店或是網上店都積極拓展版圖,公司在北美、歐洲和亞洲不斷發展零售店舖,與此同時網上的銷售亦都相當成功,其中,中國成為了公司的主要增長的一個地區。

Lululemon除了開拓自己的零售店之外,在中東和墨西哥亦都透過特許經營方式,銷售旗下產品。線上線下的攻略,這個全方位市場拓展(omnichannel marketing )策略令到公司急速成長。

公司在瑜伽服裝方面取得市場領導地位,不過,來自Nike, Gap 等競爭仍然相當激烈。

Under Armour:有復甦概念

成立於1996年的Under Armour,在運動用品及休閒服的市場,佔一重要𥱊位。Nike以運動鞋為主打,而Under Armour則以運動服裝為主,但在拓展運動鞋方面亦都不遣餘力。2020年,成衣佔公司淨銷售的68%,鞋類佔22%,而為配件佔10%。

公司透過批發渠道如百貨公司、獨立專賣店等銷售產品, 足跡遍及北美、歐洲、中東、非洲,以及亞太區市場,同時也有網上銷售,。

講到Under Armour都不得不提NBA藍球明星Stephen Curry。穿著Nike長大的超級球星Curry,竟然冇同Nike合作,但跟當時大舉進軍球鞋市場的Under Armour簽約,成為代言人,Under Armour可謂慧眼識英雄。Curry急速冒起,帶領Under Armour的股價大躍進。

不過公司在2016年去到高峰,之後發展每況越下,公司管治又有問題,曾受到美國監管部門查數,加上銷售大跌下,股價一直冇運行。去年,受到肺炎疫情打擊,業務受影響,不過對上季度,公布的業績有改善,網上銷售又大升,種種利好因素推動最近半年股價大反彈超過一倍,倘若經濟在2021年逐步復甦,Under Armour可望繼續受惠,或成為復甦概念股。

在三隻運動服裝股中,筆者還是較喜歡Nike,公司規模比較大,在拓展網上生意都做得好,呢個係賣點,在去年四月的一篇文章《10隻你認識的增長股》,筆者都有揀咗Nike來介紹,有興趣可以重溫一下。 不過今年以來股價走勢都回軟,長線投資仍值得留意一下。

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